Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.200534 0.232694 0.268377 0.310909 0.360244 0.415688 0.482763
2025-06-01 0.151886 0.195323 0.248661 0.319018 0.409479 0.522030 0.672960
2025-06-08 0.123717 0.170715 0.232585 0.320079 0.440839 0.601990 0.834014
2025-06-15 0.106209 0.155220 0.223504 0.325719 0.475207 0.686454 1.008842
2025-06-22 0.089735 0.137810 0.208148 0.318741 0.488789 0.741300 1.146607
2025-06-29 0.077967 0.125163 0.197302 0.315829 0.506436 0.802332 1.299271
2025-07-06 0.069555 0.116268 0.190580 0.317688 0.530655 0.874972 1.477722
2025-07-13 0.065195 0.113155 0.192337 0.332938 0.577681 0.988634 1.736389
2025-07-20 0.060664 0.109053 0.191762 0.343851 0.618217 1.095507 1.995983
2025-07-27 0.056595 0.105160 0.190925 0.353923 0.658039 1.205057 2.272986
2025-08-03 0.052003 0.099695 0.186560 0.356882 0.684959 1.294037 2.522294
2025-08-10 0.047065 0.092947 0.179001 0.352811 0.697908 1.358148 2.731280
2025-08-17 0.041736 0.084900 0.168259 0.341683 0.696597 1.396329 2.897171
2025-08-24 0.039245 0.082194 0.167561 0.350421 0.735979 1.518987 3.250347
2025-08-31 0.036240 0.078044 0.163456 0.351593 0.759764 1.612550 3.553993
2025-09-07 0.034040 0.075303 0.161880 0.357793 0.794721 1.732954 3.930009
2025-09-14 0.030850 0.070026 0.154340 0.350121 0.798450 1.786789 4.164621
2025-09-21 0.028374 0.066034 0.149111 0.346920 0.811676 1.862723 4.458821
2025-09-28 0.026544 0.063295 0.146340 0.348964 0.837098 1.968840 4.836920
2025-10-05 0.025903 0.063261 0.149697 0.365728 0.899138 2.166533 5.460618
2025-10-12 0.024963 0.062396 0.151014 0.377725 0.951053 2.346092 6.062093
2025-10-19 0.024019 0.061407 0.151918 0.388797 1.001966 2.528966 6.695134
2025-10-26 0.022687 0.059285 0.149820 0.392050 1.033415 2.667006 7.228940